NRL Editorial and Opinion

Some went close, others are years away: Where the bottom nine teams went wrong in 2024

We discuss where the bottom nine saw their seasons go wrong.

Published by
Dan Nichols

Week 1 of the NRL finals have come and gone, and it means two more sides have joined the bottom nine who missed on knockout action altogether, now likely en route to Bali.

It might be easy, and obvious to focus on the sides remaining in the competition, but today we're looking to the nine forgotten sides who didn't feature in Week 1 of the finals.

More specifically what went wrong for each of the nine sides now out of contention.

Below is where each team wrong.

Canberra Raiders: Left it too late

Canberra entered the final rounds of the year needing to beat Penrith and the Roosters and win a straight shootout against the Dragons.

The fact that they achieved both yet still missed Finals showed they left it too late.

The Raiders had byes in Rounds 14 and 19. Those byes bookended a string of four straight losses.

It's no shock that this run, as well as a round 22, 23 and 24 loss streak combined to ensure it was too little too late for the Green Machine.

Obviously it doesn't matter when the wins come, as long as they do, but Canberra committed the ultimate rugby league sin by leaving their destiny to other teams.

Newcastle's win on Sunday afternoon meant Canberra missed out.

CANBERRA, AUSTRALIA - JULY 07: Kaeo Weekes of the Raiders looks dejected following the round 18 NRL match between Canberra Raiders and Newcastle Knights at GIO Stadium on July 07, 2024 in Canberra, Australia. (Photo by Jason McCawley/Getty Images)

The Dolphins: Jekyll and Hyde

We are two years in and I still don't know what to expect from the Dolphins. Half to half, let alone week to week.

The game against the Sharks is the perfect example.

They opened the game by scoring four straight tries. It looked like a 50 point win. They then conceded the next four and looked set to lose the game.

Only some brilliant from the Hammer put them back in front and proved the winner in the end.

In the final three weeks of the regular season the Dolphins lost 48-6, won 40-6 and lost 14-6.

The gap between the Dolphins best and their worst proved too large to bank enough wins. If they found one more win, they play Finals. They were close.

BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA - APRIL 28: Trai Fuller of the Dolphins is tackled by Dylan Lucas of the Knights during the round eight NRL match between Dolphins and Newcastle Knights at Suncorp Stadium, on April 28, 2024, in Brisbane, Australia. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

St George Illawarra Dragons: Let the pressure to get to them (again)

The Dragons spent almost the entire season sticking it to the doubters.

They set it up that a win, at home, against local rivals the Sharks would secure the most unlikely of Finals appearances.

They were smoked 38-10. Not to worry, a win over the lowly Eels would land them that spot ... They lost 44-40.

It seemed as though they were able to overcome when they were expected to lose. They wilted once the pressure of expectation finally hit them.

The Dragons had a chance to shake the infamous "choker" tag but instead they played right into it.

A horror late season fade out saw the Dragons miss the Finals cut off ... again!

SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - MARCH 23: Mikaele Ravalawa of the Dragons during the round three NRL match between St George Illawarra Dragons and North Queensland Cowboys at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium on March 23, 2024 in Sydney, Australia. (Photo by Jason McCawley/Getty Images)

Brisbane Broncos: A lack of depth

The Broncos entered the season as genuine title heavies. They were most people's pick to go one further than they did in 2023.

Then injuries struck. Just like at every single club in every single season of professional football since the beginning of time.

The Broncos simply didn't have the options available to step up when called upon.

Names like Walsh, Reynolds and Haas are near impossible to replace, for anyone, but the Broncos couldn't even come close.

I'm not having a personal go at the back up options, but this is professional football and you have to be able to step up.

Look at Melbourne and Penrith. Both lost star halves for long periods and barely missed a beat. Without Reynolds, the Broncos looked like the Titans.

BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA - APRIL 08: Jock Madden passes the ball during a Brisbane Broncos NRL training session at Clive Berghofer Field on April 08, 2024 in Brisbane, Australia. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

New Zealand Warriors: Second year syndrome

The Warriors were everyone's second favourite team in 2023. They rode a wave of momentum that saw them contest a Prelim.

Much was expected for the 'Wahs' in 2024. To say they did not deliver is an understatement.

Yes they suffered injuries, but no worse than teams that finished ahead of them.

They just couldn't rise to expectations set by a ridiculous 2023 season.

It's hard to pinpoint what went wrong but losing five games (as well as having a draw) at home certainly hurt. One of their 'home' wins came at Suncorp too as an aside.

Typically the trans Tasman trip is amongst the hardest in the NRL. Not this season.

AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND - MAY 26: Marata Niukore of the Warriors passes during the round 12 NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and Dolphins at Go Media Stadium Mt Smart, on May 26, 2024, in Auckland, New Zealand. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

Gold Coast Titans: A horror start ... and finish

It took the Titans until Round eight to record their first win of the season. A bye in Round two helped keep them off zero points, but we all knew.

A couple of wins here and then kept attention off them but it wasn't until a 66-6 win in Round 16 that the Titans season really started.

Five wins in six games had even the doubters slowly raising their eyebrows as this most unlikely of mid to late season runs.

Then they lost five games in a row.

Start terribly, finish terribly. Surely not the pre-season plan Des Hasler was working on.

Hasler needs to spend the off-season nailing down his preferred spine and ready them for a fast start. Playing catch up is a risky business.

GOLD COAST, AUSTRALIA - MARCH 18: Alofiana Khan-Pereira of the Titans passes the ball at warm up during the round three NRL match between the Gold Coast Titans and the Melbourne Storm at Cbus Super Stadium on March 18, 2023 in Gold Coast, Australia. (Photo by Jono Searle/Getty Images)

Parramatta Eels: Let themselves down too often

The Eels started the season at 2-1. They beat the Dogs and Manly with their loss coming at the hands of Penrith.

They proved they had the talent to return to Finals.

Then they lost. Then they lost. Then they won. They then they lost ... and lost and lost and lost. You can see where I'm going with this.

The fact it took a huge effort on the final day of the season just to avoid finishing last says everything about the Eels 2024.

Brad Arthur was sacked, they lost their star youngster to the Panthers. Nothing went right in 2024.

I'm not saying it was all self inflicted but a lot of their issues certainly were.

SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - MARCH 23: Eels assistant coach Trent Barrett looks on before the round four NRL match between the Parramatta Eels and Penrith Panthers at CommBank Stadium on March 23, 2023 in Sydney, Australia. (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

South Sydney Rabbitohs: No "next man up"

South Sydney suffered one of the all time injury tolls in 2024.

Campbell Graham was ruled out, for what turned out to be the entire season, before the NRL season even started.

Latrell Mitchell was in and out far too often, while Alex Johnston, Jai Arrow, Jack Wighton, Cameron Murray etc etc all missed games.

Jye Gray is the outlier here as he was absolutely magnificent when called upon, but otherwise Souths just didn't have the cattle to step up.

It is easy to blame injuries, and this would present a fair case to be honest, but the true top sides overcome injury tolls.

2023 became about 2024 very quickly, which is never something you want to hear.

SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - APRIL 06: Jack Wighton of the Rabbitohs passes during the round five NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and New Zealand Warriors at Accor Stadium, on April 06, 2024, in Sydney, Australia. (Photo by Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images)

Wests Tigers: Shocking indiscipline

I wanted to put "everything" here as everything went wrong. The main culprit for yet another season finishing last though came about to due a lack of discipline.

16 Tigers were sent from the field in 2024. 16!

For a side that struggled to defend with 13 on 13, a man advantage was simply not something the Tigers could afford. Let alone 16 times.

Every time a Tiger was sat down, the floodgates opened.

No side in the competition can defend a man down, or even two men down at times, on such a consistent basis.

There are a plethora of factors at play here but the best chance a side has of winning a game is playing on a level field. The Tigers took that away from themselves far too often.

GOSFORD, AUSTRALIA - JULY 20: Charlie Staines of the Tigers
is tackled during the round 20 NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and Wests Tigers at Industree Group Stadium, on July 20, 2024, in Gosford, Australia. (Photo by Mark Evans/Getty Images)
Published by
Dan Nichols