The Sydney Roosters will be up against it when they travel to Victoria for the first preliminary final to take on the Melbourne Storm.
The Roosters have a horror recent record against Melbourne, and it's something they will have to overcome if they are going to keep their season alive.
Realistically, the two preliminary finals look like one-sided affairs. The top two teams this season, both with week offs, come into their games this weekend as red-hot favourites.
But the Roosters have attacked strongly all year and will head to Melbourne looking to play a positive brand of rugby league, fancying themselves of being a chance at an upset.
Here is a full betting and odds preview ahead of the game.
All odds from PointsBet, correct at 11pm, Thursday, September 26.
Think. Is this a bet you really want to place?
The Storm have an enormous edge in the recent head-to-head between these sides, and there is no reason to suggest that won't be the continuing trend here.
Melbourne are almost unbackable favourites, paying just $1.28 to take out the victory over Trent Robinson's side.
Given the Roosters' struggles against the top two sides, it's maybe no surprise they come into the game as rank $3.65 outsiders.
Interestingly, the Storm's last five wins against the Roosters have seen three in the 13+ bracket - including their last meeting in July - and the other two by six points or less.
That all said, you can get plenty of value for the Storm to win between 1 and 12 points at $3.20, but not so much if you think they'll run away with it - they pay just $2.10 for a win by 13 points or more.
If you're on the Roosters, then it's $4.80 for a win between 1 and 12 points, and $9.50 for a win beyond that.
Some have made the comment the Roosters will be lucky to score at all in this game, so it's no surprise the Storm dominate the try-scoring markets.
Will Warbrick ($8) and Xavier Coates ($8.50) are the two shortest-priced players to go over for the first try, followed in the market by Melbourne fullback Ryan Papenhuyzen and Roosters' winger Daniel Tupou at $13.
In the any-time try-scorer market, you could find value in the likes of Eliesa Katoa, who is paying $2.75 and has scored four tries in his last five games, or Joseph Suaalii, who has been cold recently, but sits at $4.
Others worth keeping an eye on are Daniel Tupou ($2.30), Harry Grant ($3), Jahrome Hughes ($3), Angus Crichton ($4) and Nelson Aofa-Solomona ($6).
Given both of these sides know their way to the try line, it's not hard to see why the total points have been set at 45.5, with the market paying $1.90 either way.
We think there could be plenty of points in this one.